# Geopolitical Atlas

> Every country judged by power, capability and trajectory, through the lens of Lee Kuan Yew: eleven mental models in four layers, each scored 1–5 with trend and confidence, a written verdict, and cited figures. Researched and updated weekly by Claude, an AI model, with every claim verified against its source. Published by Seed Software.

Scores and verdicts are judgements; figures are cited facts. Each profile lists its sources with access dates and states where the LKY lens is weakest for that country.

## Country profiles

- [Algeria](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/algeria): Algeria holds a strong hand: Africa's largest country, an economy of about US$330 billion, and gas that makes it the third-largest supplier to the European Union. (updated 2026-10-26)
- [Australia](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/australia): 1 trillion, a AAA rating and one of the cleanest governments in the world. It has played it comfortably rather than well. (updated 2026-10-26)
- [Botswana](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/botswana): For half a century Botswana was Africa's model of how to turn a mineral into a nation: clean, stable and prudent, with a corruption score still among the best on the continent. (updated 2026-10-26)
- [Brazil](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/brazil): Brazil holds one of the best hands on the map: food, oil and 93% of the world's niobium, no enemy on its borders, and the world's tenth-largest economy. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [Cameroon](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/cameroon): Cameroon holds a decent hand: ports, oil, forests, bauxite and a young population of about 31 million. (updated 2026-10-26)
- [Canada](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/canada): 5 trillion, clean government and a near-AAA rating.7% of its exports still went to the United States in 2025, and Washington declined in July to renew the trade pact that protects them. (updated 2026-10-26)
- [China](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/china): 2 trillion and most of the world's rare earths. It has played that hand well in industry and badly at home, where investment is falling and property investment has dropped by more than a fifth. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [Côte d'Ivoire](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/cote-divoire): Côte d'Ivoire holds a good hand for West Africa: fertile land, a busy coast, and an economy of about US$110 billion growing at around 6% a year. (updated 2026-10-26)
- [DR Congo](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/dr-congo): 72 million tonnes of copper in the first half of 2026, and an economy the IMF now ranks fifth in sub-Saharan Africa. (updated 2026-10-26)
- [Egypt](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/egypt): Egypt holds the world's most valuable shortcut and the Arab world's largest population. Its rulers have long traded on that position for rescue money instead of building a productive economy. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [Ethiopia](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/ethiopia): Ethiopia has the population, the water and the ambition of a regional great power, and it has been building like one. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [France](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/france): 6 trillion economy and armed forces that are being rebuilt. It is playing that hand badly at home.4%, two agencies have cut it to A+, and a hung parliament has made budgets a yearly crisis. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [Germany](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/germany): 5 trillion, a AAA credit rating and clean government, ranked 10th of 182 on corruption.2% in 2025, industry has shed over 341,000 jobs since 2019, and schools have slid to the OECD average. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [Ghana](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/ghana): Ghana holds a good hand: gold, cocoa, oil and a stable democracy of about 36 million people.8% this year, and Fitch has raised its rating to B. (updated 2026-10-26)
- [India](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/india): India holds the best long-run hand of any large country: the world's biggest population, a median age of about 29 and an economy of about US$4 trillion growing at about 7% a year. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [Indonesia](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/indonesia): 5 trillion growing steadily at around 5%, and command of the sea lanes between the Indian and Pacific Oceans. (updated 2026-10-26)
- [Iran](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/iran): Iran holds a strong hand by geography: a large country of 93 million astride the Strait of Hormuz, where its threats alone have pushed oil above $100. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [Israel](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/israel): Israel holds a weak hand by geography, a small state with no strategic depth among enemies, and plays it with exceptional skill. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [Italy](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/italy): 1% of GDP, winning rating upgrades for it. But the two numbers that decide its future are getting worse. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [Japan](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/japan): 3 trillion, some of the best-schooled teenagers in the world and orderly, fairly clean government. On security it is at last playing that hand with resolve: voters gave Prime Minister Takaichi's party 316 of 465… (updated 2026-10-26)
- [Kenya](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/kenya): Kenya is East Africa's hub. The port, the banks, the diplomats and the region's most enterprising workforce all pass through Mombasa and Nairobi. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [Libya](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/libya): Libya sits on Africa's largest proven oil reserves and a long Mediterranean coast, with fewer than 8 million people to share the wealth. (updated 2026-10-26)
- [Nigeria](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/nigeria): Nigeria has the numbers to be Africa's great power: about 240 million people, the continent's largest oil output and a market that sets the weather for West Africa. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [Russia](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/russia): Russia holds a hand of raw assets, not modern strengths: the largest territory on earth, most of the world's mined palladium, oil and gas the world still buys, and with the United States about 86% of all nuclear weapons. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [Rwanda](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/rwanda): Rwanda is the closest thing in Africa to the LKY model: a small, landlocked, resource-poor state that has made order, clean administration and relentless execution its edge. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [Saudi Arabia](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/saudi-arabia): 3 trillion, a young population and fiscal buffers that let Fitch keep it at A+ through the Iran war. (updated 2026-10-26)
- [South Africa](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/south-africa): South Africa holds the strongest hand in Africa: the continent's largest economy, most of the world's platinum and chrome, and courts that still check power. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [South Korea](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/south-korea): 6% of GDP. Its institutions passed a severe test when a court sentenced former president Yoon Suk Yeol to life in prison for the 2024 martial-law attempt. (updated 2026-10-26)
- [Turkey](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/turkey): 8 trillion and the straits between the Black Sea and the Mediterranean.73%. But he is hollowing out the institutions that make power last: his main rival is on trial, and Turkey's corruption score has fallen to 31. (updated 2026-10-26)
- [United Arab Emirates](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/united-arab-emirates): The UAE has turned a small, exposed stretch of desert and oil into a rich and well-run state, with sovereign foreign assets of about 164% of GDP and one of the cleanest governments outside the West. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [United Kingdom](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/united-kingdom): 3 trillion economy, nuclear weapons, a skilled English-speaking workforce, clean institutions and the closest ties of any country to Washington. (updated 2026-10-25)
- [United States](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/united-states): 6 trillion, secure borders on two oceans, and with Russia about 86% of the world's nuclear weapons. It is playing that hand erratically. (updated 2026-10-25)

## About

- [How countries are judged](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/framework): the four layers, eleven models, rating scale, sources and update process
- [Changes](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/changes): every update, newest first

## Optional

- [Full text of all profiles](https://seedsoftware.co.za/geopolitical-atlas/llms-full.txt): every profile in plain Markdown